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Life Expectancy In Developed Countries May Grow Much Higher Than Anticipated Even If Mortality Conditions Stay Constant
This video was recorded at 14th International Multiconference on Information Society, Ljubljana 2011. Disclaimer: VideoLectures.NET emphasizes we are not the authors of this recording. Both the centuries-long tradition of conventional lifespan indicators and the more recent criticism to them ignore the true exposures of individuals to prevailing mortality levels. These exposures form a genuine part of a more comprehensive picture of the prevailing mortality conditions. In low-mortality countries, our estimated duration of human life exceeds the conventional estimates by 15 years. Our theory implies that mortality dynamics are characterised by a considerable inertia. This is used to develop new methods of forecasting, leading to a more optimistic outlook for future mortality.
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This work is licensed under a Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 United States
